Income, Liquidity, and the Consumption Response to the 2020 Economic Stimulus Payments
Scott R. Baker, Robert A Farrokhnia, Steffen Meyer, Michaela Pagel
Review of Finance, Volume 27, Issue 6, November 2023, Pages 2271–2304, https://doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfad010
The 2020 CARES Act directed large cash payments to households. We analyze households’ spending responses using data from a Fintech non-profit, exploring heterogeneity by income, recent income declines, and liquidity as well as linked survey responses about economic expectations. Households respond rapidly to payments, with spending increasing by about $0.14 per dollar during the first week and plateauing around $0.25-$0.30 over 3 months. In contrast to previous stimulus programs, we see little response of durables spending. Households with lower incomes, greater income declines, and less liquidity display stronger responses whereas households that expect employment losses and benefit cuts display weaker responses.